MO-09: Baker Leads by 2 in New Poll

Momentum Analysis for Judy Baker (8/12-14, likely voters):

Judy Baker (D): 41

Blaine Luetkemeyer (R): 39

Tamara Millay (L): 3

Undecided: 16

(MoE: ±4.9%)

Nice numbers for Baker, whose strength among women voters (45-36) and stronger base support (78-12 among Dems, compared to Luetkemeyer’s 66-14 among Republicans) are propelling her to an early lead.

Luetkemeyer also appears to be a bit dinged up after his Club For Growth-tainted primary, as his favorability (33-16) is more mixed than Baker’s (30-8).

It’s a very solid start for Baker, but getting to 50% is the real challenge. SSP currently rates this race as Lean Republican.

(Big hat-tip to Wayne in Missouri for the catch.)

PS: Check out the Luetkemeyer campaign’s psychotic reaction to the poll:

“Judy Baker’s poll is like a NASCAR driver bragging about being ahead after the first lap of this weekend’s Sharpie 500, which in case Judy didn’t know is a car race enjoyed by ‘those people’ often derided by liberal Democrats like herself,” said Luetkemeyer spokesman Paul Sloca in a statement.

“Those people”?? Talk about grasping at straws and then some.

9 thoughts on “MO-09: Baker Leads by 2 in New Poll”

  1. This was a Bush +19 district and Hulshof won this district 61% to 36% in 2006 so it won’t be easy, but this is a great first poll out of the gates.

    Add to this that Luetkemeyer cannot continue to self-fund and that he burned through hundreds of thousands of dollars self-funding in the primaries and this is definitely a winnable race.

    I’m matching donations to Judy Baker on my ActBlue page (up to $400)

    http://www.actblue.com/page/wa

    Folks can also donate to her via ActBlue from her website:

    http://judybakerforcongress.com/

  2. Thanks for introducing me to NASCAR!  I’ve definitely never heard of NASCAR in my twenty-some years of living in a liberal, socialist, communist, drug-induced fantasy world filled with baby killers and devil-worshippers!

    More like, thanks for insulting my intelligence.

  3. Instead of releasing their own poll with Luetkemeyer leading or keeping a lid over this, they are conceding the lead to Baker and drawing more attention to her lead.  I mean, talk about a momentum shot in the arm!  Come on.  

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