Momentum Analysis for Judy Baker (8/12-14, likely voters):
Judy Baker (D): 41
Blaine Luetkemeyer (R): 39
Tamara Millay (L): 3
Undecided: 16
(MoE: ±4.9%)
Nice numbers for Baker, whose strength among women voters (45-36) and stronger base support (78-12 among Dems, compared to Luetkemeyer’s 66-14 among Republicans) are propelling her to an early lead.
Luetkemeyer also appears to be a bit dinged up after his Club For Growth-tainted primary, as his favorability (33-16) is more mixed than Baker’s (30-8).
It’s a very solid start for Baker, but getting to 50% is the real challenge. SSP currently rates this race as Lean Republican.
(Big hat-tip to Wayne in Missouri for the catch.)
PS: Check out the Luetkemeyer campaign’s psychotic reaction to the poll:
“Judy Baker’s poll is like a NASCAR driver bragging about being ahead after the first lap of this weekend’s Sharpie 500, which in case Judy didn’t know is a car race enjoyed by ‘those people’ often derided by liberal Democrats like herself,” said Luetkemeyer spokesman Paul Sloca in a statement.
“Those people”?? Talk about grasping at straws and then some.
Pipe down and take it like a man “Bluetkemeyer”.
This was a Bush +19 district and Hulshof won this district 61% to 36% in 2006 so it won’t be easy, but this is a great first poll out of the gates.
Add to this that Luetkemeyer cannot continue to self-fund and that he burned through hundreds of thousands of dollars self-funding in the primaries and this is definitely a winnable race.
I’m matching donations to Judy Baker on my ActBlue page (up to $400)
http://www.actblue.com/page/wa…
Folks can also donate to her via ActBlue from her website:
http://judybakerforcongress.com/
Thanks for introducing me to NASCAR! I’ve definitely never heard of NASCAR in my twenty-some years of living in a liberal, socialist, communist, drug-induced fantasy world filled with baby killers and devil-worshippers!
…
More like, thanks for insulting my intelligence.
Instead of releasing their own poll with Luetkemeyer leading or keeping a lid over this, they are conceding the lead to Baker and drawing more attention to her lead. I mean, talk about a momentum shot in the arm! Come on.